Last Night's Winners: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln (Drama), Hugh Jackman, Les Misérables (Comedy/Musical)
What It Means: Did you guys know that awards people like to give awards to Daniel Day-Lewis? It's true! They do, they really, really do. And we just don't think that the Academy will pass up the chance to do so again this year. Sure, people love Hugh Jackman — the Academy loves him so much they had him host their big show — and Bradley Cooper has the Weinstein wonder-wagon pulling him along, but this is still Daniel Day-Lewis's to lose. By a rather big margin, we would think. If the SAGs go a different way, we might actually have a good old fashioned race on our hands, but right now it seems very unlikely that anyone can keep up with Lincoln's long-legged stride.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Last Night's Winner Anne Hathaway, Les Misérables
What It Means: If hunters were to find some sort of feral child deep in the woods somewhere, or if anthropologists were to stumble upon a completely isolated Amazonian tribe, or if some old man awoke in the Catskills after decades of slumber, and you asked these people, "Who is going to win this year's Oscar for Best Supporting Actress?" even they would look at you — feral child with snarling mouth, Amazonians wearing decorative bones, the old crusty codger scratching his head — and say "Um, Anne Hathaway, duhhhh." This really has not been a question since Les Misérables first screened almost two months ago. Sure there's a slight chance that Sally Field could upset and snatch the prize for Lincoln, but if there's any shoo-in for an Oscar this year, it's Hathaway. She's an industry favorite, it's a crowd-pleasing role, and a win for her would be a way to award a popular movie that might otherwise be shut-out at the Oscars. Stranger things have happened at the Academy Awards, but Hathaway not winning this would be the year's biggest surprise. Last night's Golden Globe did little but confirm that fact.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Last Night's Winner: Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained
What It Means: This category was stuffed with venerable past nominees and winners, so it was really a toss-up. I might gave the edge to Tommy Lee Jones over Waltz, but his victory wasn't exactly that surprising. I have a sneaking suspicion that Jones has a little more oomph behind him for the Oscars, which are slightly less likely to re-award recent winners than the Globes. Every actor in the Best Supporting Oscar category has won before, so there won't really be any upsets or injustices. It's a bunch of older dudes with trophy-bedecked mantles, meaning the stakes are pretty low. Still, Jones is our pick for a winner, despite Waltz's victory last night. But who really knows. And, frankly, who really cares?
Last Night's Winner: Ben Affleck, Argo