Two big weekend wins for Argo have the Hollywood pundits saying that its Best Picture chances have transformed from Academy snub to Golden Globes surprise to, suddenly, a done deal at the Oscars. On Saturday, the Ben Affleck-helmed thriller took home the top prize at the Producers Guild Awards. Then it won the Best Ensemble award at the Screen Actors Guild festivities on Sunday. Will all this make the biggest Oscar prize turn from dramatic to, well, boring? The Hollywood Reporter's Scott Feinberg tweeted:
ARGO wins! This pretty much seals the deal for best pic, folks. It has won with producers and now @theacademy's biggest contingent, actors.— Scott Feinberg (@ScottFeinberg) January 28, 2013
Earlier that day Feinberg had written that Argo's Producers Guild Award had made "it virtually impossible to argue any longer that a film other than Argo -- say, Les Miserables, Life of Pi, Lincoln, Silver Linings Playbook, Zero Dark Thirty -- is currently in the best picture Oscar's pole position, because they haven't won anything yet."
Awards Daily's Sasha Stone also echoed Feinberg, with a caveat:
It's true that game over but remember Apollo 13 won Globe, PGA, SAG, DGA and lost Oscar to Braveheart.— Sasha Stone (@AwardsDaily) January 28, 2013
So now Argo has won with both the preferential ballot and the weighted ballot. Game over.— Sasha Stone (@AwardsDaily) January 28, 2013
Even before the SAG ceremony, Roger Ebert was touting his prediction from September:
I predicted that "Argo" would win this year's Oscar for Best Picture on Sept. 10. The Toronto Connection never fails. bit.ly/WqG7Rm— Roger Ebert (@ebertchicago) January 27, 2013
And though in summing up the PGA prizes, Pete Hammond of Deadline was more "tentative," he also noted: "Argo could be emerging as a kind of consensus choice in a year of outstanding films, a beneficiary of a severely split vote. It is significant that the PGA uses the same preferential vote counting system as the Academy so there is a high level of correlation between the two groups." Following the SAG awards Hammond wrote "there can be no question now that Argo is on a roll. Voters just seem to like this picture, and sometimes that’s all it takes."