Republicans must be ecstatic that the National League pulled
off a 3-1 upset victory in the MLB's All-Star game. Why? According to
analysis by Smart Politics,
a National League victory has preceded the last nine times that Republicans have
staked a double-digit gain in the House of Representatives. That odd, wonky coincidence may have Democrats a bit unnerved (if they weren't already after Gibbs and Kaine's pessimism), but it doesn't end
"National League All-Star game victories have not just preceded the
Republican tsunamis of 1966, 1980, and 1994 - but have occurred each
and every time the GOP has scored double-digit gains in the U.S. House
since 1950." Watch out, Nancy Pelosi.
Of course, given the American League's recent dominance, Democrats at least have this statistic going for them:
Meanwhile, all five election cycles in which Democrats won five or more Senate seats since 1948 were preceded by American League victories that July (1948, 1958, 1986, 2006, 2008).
This article is from the archive of our partner The Wire.