This possibility contradicts conventional wisdom, but there could be something to it
When mortgage interest rates are low, consumers may be more enticed to buy a home. This logic is straightforward enough: financing is cheaper, so buying is more attractive.* But in a recent blog post, Mark Calabria at the Cato Institute challenges this commonly-held view that low mortgage interest rates are good for the housing market. He suggests aiding housing by raising rates instead. Is this assertion crazy, or could there be something to it?
The Conventional Wisdom
It is certainly true that lower interest rates will make buying a home through a fixed-rate mortgage more attractive to borrowers. Nobody doubts this fact. Obtaining a mortgage with a lower interest rate lowers the price you have to pay for your home inclusive of financing.
But this explanation only captures half of the story: what about lenders? Borrowers may love mortgages with very low interest rates, but banks hate mortgages with low interest rates.
The Supply Side
Let's look at what Calabria says:
The Fed should start raising rates. First, what bank wants to make a mortgage at 4% when their cost of funds in a few years will easily be above that? Just like any price ceiling, artificially low rates cause shortages. In this case current Fed policies are reducing the supply of credit, making it harder for potential borrowers to get mortgages (yes, if you can get a mortgage, the price is great). When rates do go up, which they will, such will put downward pressure on prices, better to take that hit now.
He's talking about the supply side of the equation. Consumers demand mortgages and banks supply them. If a price ceiling is created, then you'll run into a supply shortage. In this case, this happens for two reasons.