Here is a snapshot, via Google Finance, of the value of the Chinese RMB against the U.S. dollar. For a time before 2006, the exchange resembled a flat line. Ditto between 2008 and 2010. This is what a fixed exchange rate looks like.
But how does China accomplish this, exactly? Jim Fallows explained the "voyage of a dollar" in five easy steps in a 2008 Atlantic article. I've translated that passage into an infographic. Jim's original passage appears below. I've inserted numbers to help you follow the picture.
1) Let's say you buy an Oral-B electric toothbrush for $30 at a CVS in the United States. I choose this example because I've seen a factory in China that probably made the toothbrush. Most of that $30 stays in America, with CVS, the distributors, and Oral-B itself. Eventually $3 or so--an average percentage for small consumer goods--makes its way back to southern China.
2) When the factory originally placed its bid for Oral-B's business, it stated the price in dollars: X million toothbrushes for Y dollars each. But the Chinese manufacturer can't use the dollars directly. It needs RMB--to pay the workers their 1,200-RMB ($160) monthly salary, to buy supplies from other factories in China, to pay its taxes. So it takes the dollars to the local commercial bank--let's say the Shenzhen Development Bank. After showing receipts or waybills to prove that it earned the dollars in genuine trade, not as speculative inflow, the factory trades them for RMB.
3) This is where the first controls kick in. In other major countries, the counterparts to the Shenzhen Development Bank can decide for themselves what to do with the dollars they take in. Trade them for euros or yen on the foreign-exchange market? Invest them directly in America? Issue dollar loans? Whatever they think will bring the highest return. But under China's "surrender requirements," Chinese banks can't do those things. They must treat the dollars, in effect, as contraband, and turn most or all of them (instructions vary from time to time) over to China's equivalent of the Federal Reserve Bank, the People's Bank of China, for RMB at whatever is the official rate of exchange.
With thousands of transactions per day, the dollars pile up like crazy at the PBOC. More precisely, by more than a billion dollars per day. They pile up even faster than the trade surplus with America would indicate, because customers in many other countries settle their accounts in dollars, too.
4) The PBOC must do something with that money, and current Chinese doctrine allows it only one option: to give the dollars to another arm of the central government, the State Administration for Foreign Exchange. It is then SAFE's job to figure out where to park the dollars for the best return: so much in U.S. stocks, so much shifted to euros, and the great majority left in the boring safety of U.S. Treasury notes.
5) And thus our dollar comes back home. Spent at CVS, passed to Oral-B,
paid to the factory in southern China, traded for RMB at the Shenzhen
bank, "surrendered" to the PBOC, passed to SAFE
for investment, and then bid at auction for Treasury notes, it is ready
to be reinjected into the U.S. money supply and spent again--ideally on
We want to hear what you think. Submit a letter to the editor or write to email@example.com.