Who's Right: Institutions or Individual Investors?
Two metrics of stock market participation have deviated, and may indicate a coming bull market. Institutions, like mutual funds, pensions and endowments, are aggressively ramping up their stock buying. Meanwhile individuals are feeling more bearish. While such a phenomenon could mean nothing, it could also mean something. Here's Bloomberg reporting:
Institutions pushed equities up to 68 percent of their holdings in July, the highest level in 15 months, from 63 percent in April, a Citigroup Inc. survey showed. The ratio of bullish to bearish respondents in a survey by the American Association of Individual Investors has fallen to 0.68, the lowest level since July 2009, based on a four-week average.
The last time money managers and individuals were this far apart was at the beginning of 2009, before the Standard & Poor's 500 Index began its 63 percent rally, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Read the full story at Bloomberg.