If you're not reading Tyler Cowen, you should
He blogs perspicaciously about the primaries:
If you're not looking at the betting markets...
You should be. Obama, as of the time of this post, is up to 60 percent against Hillary Clinton. McCain has lost about five points but Romney hasn't gained much. It's hard to glean any of this from MSM or even most blog accounts. C'mon people, turn your TVs off and go crash the InTrade servers, making sure you pay homage to Hayek and Robin Hanson along the way.
Intrade, for newbies, is here.