The challenges for his campaign are very familiar ones.
The former CEO has staked out a platform few Republican-leaning voters would endorse.
The president isn’t able to persuade most Americans to get on board with his immigration agenda.
The policy’s supporters could run up against the same problems that Republicans faced in trying to repeal Obamacare.
Changes in political fundraising and communication have the potential to shake up 2020. But Iowa and New Hampshire will likely be as influential as ever in cutting down the Democratic field.
The president and his party have grown accustomed to representing a minority of Americans—and ignoring majority opinion.
The president’s relentless effort to cement the loyalty of his base is alienating him from the ambivalent voters who provided him critical support in 2016.
House Democrats today are far more ideologically and geographically cohesive than they were during Nancy Pelosi’s previous speakership.
New provocations, especially from House Democrats, are likely to trigger his most belligerent impulses—and further test his voters’ loyalty.
President Trump’s potential criminal liability could add extraordinary volatility to the 2020 presidential campaign.
The GOP’s lame-duck strategy foreshadows a coming political war between urban and rural America.
The results in the House represented one of the most emphatic repudiations of a president in modern history. But the GOP isn’t any closer to ditching Donald Trump.
For years, the state’s massive congressional delegation was highly competitive, but not anymore. Of 53 House seats, Democrats now hold at least 45.
So long as the GOP stays loyal to President Trump, its prospects on the electoral map will be sharply restricted.
Important segments of his coalition stood by him, but Democrats made inroads with urban and suburban white voters uncomfortable with his style and values.
A widening array of conflicts over voting rights in the state have revived memories of the civil-rights era.
The president’s offensive on immigration is linked to his party’s struggle to build support for key pieces of its economic agenda.
It’s not hard to envision the tension ahead: The Democrats are becoming more diverse at the same time that greater numbers of GOP candidates are embracing President Trump’s nationalism.
Republicans are surging in pro-Trump rural areas as a Democratic wave gathers in many anti-Trump suburbs, continuing a long-term shift toward nationalized congressional elections.
The GOP’s chances are dim in the districts Hillary Clinton won in 2016—and it’s all Donald Trump’s fault.