Those Polls We Did? Forget all of Them. For Two Years.

By Marc Ambinder

An admission from Markos Moulitsas, proprietor of the Daily Kos web empire:


I have just published a report by three statistics wizards showing, quite convincingly, that the weekly Research 2000 State of the Nation poll we ran the past year and a half was likely bunk.

Later, he writes, "While the investigation didn't look at all of Research 2000 polling conducted for us, fact is I no longer have any confidence in any of it, and neither should anyone else. I ask that all poll tracking sites remove any Research 2000 polls commissioned by us from their databases. I hereby renounce any post we've written based exclusively on Research 2000 polling."

The "wizards" he cites conclude that "people who have been trusting the R2K reports should know about these extreme anomalies. We do not know exactly how the weekly R2K results were created, but we are confident they could not accurately describe random polls."

R2K's proprietor, Del Ali, responded to TPM by saying he was contacting his lawyer and adding, "I will tell you unequivocally that we conducted EVERY poll properly for the Daily Kos."

Kos says he'll be suing Ali.

This will get ugly...

This article available online at:

http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2010/06/those-polls-we-did-forget-all-of-them-for-two-years/58919/