It would be silly to write him off, and I still think he's the favorite in the race, but the week since he won the GOP primary has been a terrible one for Rand Paul, and now we have poll numbers to back that up. A new
Daily Kos/Research 2000 poll has Paul running neck and neck with Democratic attorney general Jack Conway, leading him 44-40. That's a far cry from
the 59-34 lead that a recent Rasmussen survey showed. Of course, Paul may never really have had a 25-point lead. Jon Chait explains
the problem with Rasmussen polls. In any event, seems safe to conclude that a fair number of Kentuckians support the Civil Rights Act...
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http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2010/05/rand-pauls-polling-tailspin/57366/