Kevin Drum
looks at the trendlines in growing support for gay rights and concludes that a gay marriage referendum in California is likely to be a close-run thing. But of course whatever happens this November, this is essentially a fight the right has already lost. Individuals' views are evolving in a more pro-equality direction, but perhaps more importantly pure cohort replacement effects doom the conservative position on gay rights questions with equality enjoying overwhelming support among younger Americans.
See web-only content:
http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2008/05/marriage-trendlines/44888/
And then of course there's the Ellen DeGeneres factor, as these days an openly lesbian woman can regularly attract a large audience of very middlebrow people and
announce her engagement to a cheering studio audience.
This article available online at:
http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2008/05/marriage-trendlines/44888/
