Some County Level Trends

A quarter of the statewide vote is in. Clinton leads by a margin of about six points. With 50% of the vote in Philly having been counted, Obama's margin over Clinton is about 6 to 4 -- less than expected. The major exurban Philadelphia counties are not in yet -- nothing, for example, from Lancaster Co. Results from the closer-in surburbs are starting to trickle in (Chester, Bucks, Montgomery.) With 30% of Berks County in, Clinton leads by about ten percentage points. My guess, based on these returns, is that Clinton's margin will grow a bit. Maybe a point or two?

This article available online at:

http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2008/04/some-county-level-trends/52789/