A Steady Six Point Lead

By Marc Ambinder
The latest Quinnipiac numbers out of Pennsylvania show Sen. Clinton with a lead outside of the margin of error; the raw numbers are virtually unchanged from before the weekend. (HRC + 6). Remember, though, that weekend polling is tough, and that "events" usually take a few days to show up in the polling. Obama is spending $3.3m this week to try and upset Clinton in the state. There are a few other subnuggets of data: ** “A bigger problem for Democrats looms in Pennsylvania. One out of four Clinton voters, including a third of men, say they will vote for Republican Sen. John McCain in November if Obama is the Democratic candidate." ** Clay Richards, Quinnipiac's polling director, asserts that Clinton seems to have halted defections among white voters to Obama.

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