Bread and Peace

Douglas Hibbs' well-regarded "Bread and Peace" model of presidential election outcomes is currently projecting a 46-47 percent share of the two-party vote for John McCain. I don't put a ton of stock on these models, but it basically reiterates what we generally know -- things don't look good for the Republicans.

This article available online at:

http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2008/03/bread-and-peace/45654/