Ilan Goldenberg notes that while the US elections may get a bit nasty, provincial elections in Iraq could actually
touch off a new round of bloodshed. His analysis seems smart, but I also
agree with Eric Martin that it seems that
not holding the elections could also touch of a new round of bloodshed -- long story short, it's just the case that the underlying tensions in Iraq continue to make it the case that we need to be looking for the exits, not devising new rationales for an indefinite presence.
This article available online at:
http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2008/02/a-different-kind-of-election-analysis/48380/