Long time left things change etc. but Republicans haven't started out on the defensive in Virginia for decades. Since Truman, Virginia has gone Democratic exactly once, in 1964. Democrats who ran competitively in the South like JFK in 1960, Jimmy Carter in 1976 and Bill Clinton in 1996 still all lost Virginia.
This article available online at:
http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2007/10/va-leaning-blue/46764/
