John Hollinger
has this right. When you think about the Dallas-Golden State series,
they key thing has been Golden State's defense even more than the brilliance of Baron Davis. Since both Utah and (especially) Houston have real low-post big men, Golden State's success arguably may not carry forward into the second round. On the other hand, the Mavericks are a much better offensive team than either the Rockets or the Jazz so even middling schemes may be enough to beat them.
This article available online at:
http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2007/05/big-d/42439/