On The Ground

Jerome Armstrong writes that Hillary Clinton has a clear lead in New Hampshire organizing, which I think is to be expected, but that even given expectations it's impressively clear. Edwards also has some substantial organization there, but Barack Obama has fallen behind. I was given a similar account at a level that was, frankly, way beyond my ability to comprehend, of the state of play in South Carolina. I don't have a really strong opinion as to whether or not 2008 is likely to follow the 2004 pattern, but it is worth recalling that the way '04 worked essentially nothing mattered beyond the outcomes in Iowa and New Hampshire and that when it comes to winning those primaries ground organizing is more-or-less king.

This article available online at:

http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2007/03/on-the-ground/41657/