Executive Decision Results
for 6/17-7/1
Review
During the past two weeks our hypothetical Chief Executives (you) had to make a
decision concerning our policy on tobacco regulation. (Click here to view the full Executive Decision memo for this
scenario, written by Jack Beatty.) The options presented to the President
by his or her aides
were the following:
Option A: Regulate Nicotine as a Drug, Then Ban It.
Option B: The Philip Morris Plan.
Option C: Leave Smokers Alone.
The Results
Option C (Leave Smokers Alone), which stated
that the government should refrain from regulating tobacco, won
by a narrow margin with 35% of the vote. Option A (Regulate Nicotine
as a Drug, Then Ban It) was next with 33%.
Close behind, with 32%, was Option B (The Philip Morris Plan),
which advocated trying to limit youth smoking by cooperating with, not
penalizing, the cigarette companies.
Those who selected Option C felt that the government should not be
involved -- either
through regulation or
through tobacco subsidies -- in the country's smoking habit. Many agreed that banning cigarettes
would fail just as Prohibition did and suggested that pressure from
nonsmokers would be more effective in limiting smoking. Some supporters of
Option A wished that there had been another plan: one that included FDA
regulation of nicotine as a drug but did not go so far as to call for a
ban. Those who agreed with the premise behind Option A emphasized that the
government should have a role in tobacco regulation, but many felt that banning
tobacco was not politically feasible. Others suggested that tobacco
companies should pay for the medical costs of all those who get sick from
tobacco-related illnesses. Of those who supported Option B, many expressed
reservations about whether Philip Morris would really support legislation to limit
youths' exposure to tobacco, but agreed that targeting kids is the best way
to approach the tobacco issue. Many people suggested that a campaign of
anti-smoking public-service announcements should accompany the Philip
Morris plan.
Party Lines. Of the respondents,
38% were Democrats, 17% were Republicans, and 26% were Independents. Of those
remaining, 11% selected Other, 7% were unregistered, and 1% did not
indicate their affiliation. Democrats leaned toward strict regulation of
tobacco, while
Republicans tended to support the Philip Morris plan or no regulation at
all. The tables below show the total breakdown of how everyone voted.
| Option |
Democrats |
Republicans |
Independents |
Other |
Unregistered |
| Option A |
18% |
3% |
8% |
1% |
2% |
| Option B |
12% |
6% |
8% |
3% |
2% |
| Option C |
9% |
8% |
11% |
6% |
2% |
The Significance of the Issue. Many respondents felt that the
government should have little or no involvement in regulating tobacco, and
consequently that this is not an important issue for the Chief Executive to
consider.
| Issue |
THE Most Significant Issue |
Very Important |
Fairly Important |
Not Very Important |
Completely Irrelevant |
| Tobacco Regulation |
0% |
10% |
28% |
43% |
15% |
| Trade Policy |
6% |
35% |
45% |
13% |
0% |
| Campaign-Finance Reform |
9% |
41% |
27% |
20% |
4% |
| Health-Care Reform |
4% |
39% |
41% |
13% |
2% |
| Entitlement Reform |
12% |
56% |
27% |
4% |
2% |
| Immigration Reform |
2% |
32% |
50% |
15% |
1% |
Age. Of respondents who indicated their age, 6% were under
18, 34% were 18-34, 24% were 35-44, 15% were
45-54, and 19% were over 55. Two percent declined to give their age. Those
between 35-54 were more supportive of no government legislation, while
those 18-34 leaned towards strict regulation. We had more respondents
under eighteen than usual, perhaps because this issue affects that age group
more directly than others we've presented.
| Age Range |
Option A |
Option B |
Option C |
| Under 18 |
<1% |
4% |
1% |
| 18-34 |
14% |
12% |
8% |
| 35-44 |
6% |
8% |
11% |
| 45-54 |
4% |
4% |
7% |
| Over 55 |
8% |
3% |
8% |
Race and Gender. While there were too few non-white respondents to
present a good statistical analysis, African-Americans were more supportive of Option
A than any other group. Significantly more women responded to this
scenario (23%) than to many others we've presented. Women tended to
support the middle-of-the-road option, while men were more supportive of
Options A and C.
| Gender |
Option A |
Option B |
Option C |
| Female |
5% |
11% |
7% |
| Male |
27% |
20% |
28% |
Click here to return to the Executive Decision
index page.
Copyright ©1996 by The Atlantic Monthly Company. All rights
reserved.
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