Executive Decision Results
for 4/22-5/6
Review
During the past two weeks our hypothetical chief executives had to make a
domestic-policy decision concerning entitlements. (Click here to view the full Executive Decision memo for this
scenario, written by Jack Beatty.) The options presented to the President
by his or her aides were the following:
- Option A. The "Soft" Option: The entitlement system
is basically fine the way it is and needs only a few minor changes.
- Option B. The "Hard" Option: Entitlements are eating up the national
budget. The system needs substantial change.
The Results
A. The Soft Option: 22%
B. The Hard Option: 78%
The Boomer Burden. Respondents chose substantial reform
by an overwhelming margin--78% supported major changes while
22% saw little need for panic. Of those who supported the hard option, many
said that they did not want their children to be burdened by debt, that
everyone will need to make sacrifices, and that a country dependent on
entitlements was not what
our forefathers had in mind. Some also expressed doubt, though, that any
candidate would be willing to take on this issue during the current campaign.
Many people thought that there should have been a third option:
privatization of the Social Security system so that people could choose
where to invest their retirement money. Those who supported making only minor changes to the entitlement system cited concern
that people would not be able to work effectively in their late sixties and
early seventies. Some also felt that there is plenty of time before
entitlements become a crisis and that the President should examine other ways of making cuts
so that the entitlement system is spared.
Party Lines. Of those respondents who indicated a political affiliation,
36% were Republicans, 31% Democrats, and 26% Independents; of those
remaining, 5% selected Other and 3% were unregistered. Republicans in general
were much more supportive of Option B while Democrats tended to choose the
less-radical Option A. 42% of those who chose
Option B
were Republicans, 26% Independents, 24% Democrats, and 8% were either
Other or unregistered. Democrats represented 53% of supporters of Option A
while Republicans represented 12%. The proportions of those not affiliated
with a political party were roughly the same for both Option A and B.
The Significance of the Issue. Respondents clearly felt that
entitlements are a significant issue; only 6% of respondents chose the
"completely irrelevant" and the "not very important" options. 27% of
respondents thought entitlements were "fairly important" as an
election issue, 56% believed them to be "very important," and 12% said "it's THE most significant issue."
In contrast, of those who voted in our immigration poll (results
were posted two weeks ago) 50% thought the immigration issue was "fairly
important," 32% selected "very important," and 2% selected "it's THE most
significant issue."
Age. Of respondents who indicated their age only 1% were under
18, 41% were between 18 and 34, 22% were between 35 and 44, 20% were between
45 and 54, and 16% were over 55. As might be expected, age had an effect both
on
which option was picked and on the
significance ascribed to the issue. 84% of 18-34 year-olds, 85% of 35-44 year-olds,
77% of 45-54 year olds, and 64% of those over 55 chose Option B (as
compared with the overall average for Option B: 78%). Those respondents
who were nearer the retirement age showed that they were more leery
of large-scale entitlement reform than
other respondents.
63% of 18-34 year-olds, 76% of 35-44 year-olds, 63% of
45-54 year-olds, and 72% of those over 55 felt that this was a
"very important" or "THE most
significant issue," showing that the younger Baby Boomers and those near
or above retirement age are most concerned about the entitlement issue.
Race and Gender. The breakdown of
choices by race showed little difference among races. Women, who made up
19% of total respondents, were less likely to vote for an overhaul of the
entitlement system than were men. 81% of men selected Option B compared
with 67% of women.
Click here to return to the Executive Decision
index page.
Copyright ©1996 by The Atlantic Monthly Company. All rights
reserved.
|