As America braces for an address that tends to be uneventful, here's what Washington's major constituencies would like Obama to talk about.
What is the point of the State of the Union?
The president's annual address to Congress tends to be a laundry list of policy priorities that fails to make much of a splash either inside the Capitol or with the broader public. His opponents are only listening to find things to take issue with, and his allies are mostly just hoping he tosses a mention to their pet causes.
This year's State of the Union isn't likely to be a grandly ideological call to action -- President Obama already accomplished that with his inaugural address last month. Nor is it likely to be the occasion for a radical reorientation of his presidency. The White House appears to believe things are going well for Obama right now, with Republicans on the ropes and action under way on a slew of priorities. Spoiler alert: Obama is overwhelmingly likely to announce that the state of the Union is strong.
Nonetheless, we will be listening for clues to the path forward. I surveyed a few activists of varying perspectives to find out what they were hoping to hear from Obama on Tuesday. Was there anything he could say that would please the right, for example? (Not really -- the conservatives I surveyed said they wouldn't be satisfied unless Obama had a total change of heart and began embracing right-wing positions, which seems unlikely.) Would the left be looking for any specific commitments? (They're happy these days, but wouldn't mind a shout-out for campaign-finance reform, they say.)
Here is how the political world is setting its expectations for Obama's speech tonight.
The Tea Partier
"The thing that will continue to hold us back is the uncertainty Washington causes when it creates crisis after crisis after crisis, which makes it difficult for business owners and families to know how to plan for the future. Job creators and entrepreneurs, who could lift the economy from the dismal stagnation that we have experienced over the last four years, are instead fearful of being punished by the president for being successful and creating jobs and uncertain whether or not they should invest in growing their businesses. We want this president to say he will change course, acknowledge the government has an overspending problem, balance the budget in five years without raising taxes, and see him reject the "new normal" of high unemployment, economic malaise, lower standards of living, and less hope that has characterized his first four years."
--Jenny Beth Martin, co-founder and national coordinator, Tea Party Patriots
The Left Winger
"The president should make clear that while he supports cost-cutting reforms like letting Medicare negotiate drug prices, he is 100-percent opposed to cutting our grandparents' Social Security and Medicare benefits .... He should also make the case for how government can help people's lives -- including major government investment in jobs and passage of an assault weapons ban and background checks to prevent more killings. If he really wanted to thrill progressives, he'd vow to support public financing of congressional campaigns and a constitutional amendment to overturn Citizens United -- but I'm not expecting that much awesomeness."
--Adam Green, co-founder, Progressive Change Campaign Committee