From the presidential contest to the evolution of Americas newest social and political movements -- the Tea Party and Occupy Wall Street -- it's going to be a hectic year on the political front. But even in uncertain times, some things are as predictable as winter. There will be ongoing difficult fights over the budget and deficit reduction in Congress. The Supreme Court will issue a decision on Obama's health-care overhaul law. Immigration fights at the state level will continue and continue to be litigated in the courts. The political climate seems unlikely to change dramatically before November 2012 elections, even if the squalls that come upon us each appear as sudden developments.

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