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Marc Ambinder

Marc Ambinder - Marc Ambinder is the White House correspondent for National Journal and a contributing editor at The Atlantic. More

Marc Ambinder is the White House correspondent for National Journal. He previously served as the politics editor, and is now a contributing editor, for The Atlantic, where he curated the influential Politics channel on TheAtlantic.com and contributed to the magazine. He was also a chief political consultant to CBS News. Earlier, at NJ's Hotline, Ambinder was the founding editor of "Hotline On Call," a pathbreaking political news blog. He also worked as a producer and reporter for the ABC News Political Unit and was one of the founders of ABC's "The Note." Born in New York City, raised in Central Florida, Ambinder is a 2001 graduate of Harvard and lives in Washington, D.C.

Stupid Pundit Tricks: Incumbency

By Marc Ambinder
Sep 15 2010, 11:24 AM ET Comment

Because political pundits like to be contrarian on mornings like this, they'll unleash one of their old standbys, like, "Well, you know, Steve Doocy, 98 percent of incumbents are going to get re-elected. So it's really not correct to say that this is an anti-establishment, anti-incumbent cycle."

That line is content-less. It's like saying that your record as a political prognosticator is excellent because you correctly picked the winner of 400 of 435 House races. Actually, only about 35 (or 70) House races need prognosticators.

In places where the political environment allows for a competitive race, it SURE AS HELL is an anti-incumbent, anti-establishment year. It is many more things, too, but don't fall for that bit of punditry tomfoolery. 


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