Here's a quick roundup of polling on the big primaries going on tomorrow in Florida, Arizona, and Alaska:
Likely winner - Rep. Kendrick Meek
. Meek leads billionaire Jeff Greene
39%-29% in a Quinnipiac poll
released Monday morning, but a full 28% of 757 likely Democratic voters surveyed were undecided. Public Policy Polling shows
Meek in a commanding lead at 51%-27%.
: Likely winner - Toss-up. Attorney General Bill McCollum leads Rick Scott 39%-35% in Quinnipiac polling
released today, but 39% of Scott supporters and 27% of McCollum supporters say they could still change their minds. Mason-Dixon shows
McCollum leading 45%-36%.
: Likely winner - Sen. John McCain
. A wide edge goes to McCain in all major polls: Rasmussen shows
him leading J.D. Hayworth
54%-34%, though major polling on the race has been scarce. A July Behavior Research Center poll only surveyed 190 Republicans, and the next-most-recent survey was conducted by Magellan Strategies in June.
: Likely winner - Gov. Jan Brewer
. The incumbent figures to run away with this after her closest opponent, Buz Mills
, dropped out
of the race in July. The last major poll was conducted by Rasmussen in June, showing Brewer at 61%, Mills at 16%, and State Treasurer Dean Martin
: Likely winner - Sen. Lisa Murkowski
. Murkowski faces a primary challenge from Tea-Party-backed Joe Miller
, but no major polls have been conducted on this race. Murkowski is, however, respected and well liked in Alaska, according to polling taken before her primary got underway: in April, 75% of Republicans said Murkowski deserves re-election in a relatively small-sample (400 Republicans, Democrats, and Independents combined) survey
by Alaska-based Dittman Research. Miller, not as well established in Alaska politics, likely faces an uphill climb.