When Jon Ralston, Nevada's leading political reporter, weighs in on a race, the state's biggest donors and strategists take note. So his latest Las Vegas Sun piece predicting the fall of Sharron Angle has teeth. Ralston cites three polls showing Angle trailing Sen. Majority Leader Harry Reid, including a Mason-Dixon survey from Friday that pegs the two at 37 to 44. But Reid is only ahead because Angle is behind:

Coming up on the 100-day mark until the election -- and only three months until early voting starts -- Reid remains manifestly unpopular, with more than half of those surveyed indicating they will not vote for him. But his strategy of driving people away from Angle and into either a "none of the above" posture or a oh-how-it-pains-me-to-vote-for-him stance has worked to perfection. ...

Reid, who lost a U.S. Senate race by a few hundred votes in 1974 and won one by a few hundred votes in 1998, knows that the most famous Yogi Berraism applies. But even if it ain't over and won't be until Nov. 2, what has happened since the primary has astounded observers near and far.

Angle's best strategy at this point, according to Ralston, is to focus on the economy and rely on outside groups such as Karl Rove's American Crossroads. 

Read the full story at the Las Vegas Sun.