Lincoln Polls Below 50 in Primary

Hotline OnCall's Reid Wilson points this morning to a possible warning sign that Sen. Blanche Lincoln is in trouble: she's polling below 50% in her Democratic reelection primary against Lt. Gov. Bill Halter.

Lincoln leads Halter 44% to 31% in the latest Daily Kos/Research 2000 poll for Arkansas, and while that's a comfortable lead, it could show Lincoln's support as vulnerable. Halter's campaign hasn't gotten fully underway yet--he only announced his candidacy March 1--and as things heat up, Halter's numbers could increase.

This race depends a lot on Halter's progressive backers. Organized labor and other progressive groups have shown they will dedicate significant resources toward spending and fundraising on Halter's behalf (as long as his bid looks competitive, that is).

Though Halter is a liberal challenger to an established (albeit struggling) incumbent, an upset victory for Halter in the primary wouldn't necessarily hurt Democrats in the general election, according to this poll. Both Lincoln and Halter trail the GOP favorite, Rep. John Boozman, by about the same margin, Daily Kos/R2K finds: Lincoln by 7%, Halter by 8%.

Presented by

Chris Good is a political reporter for ABC News. He was previously an associate editor at The Atlantic and a reporter for The Hill.

A New York City Minute, Frozen in Time

This wildly inventive short film takes you on a whirling, spinning tour of the Big Apple

Join the Discussion

After you comment, click Post. If you’re not already logged in you will be asked to log in or register with Disqus.

Please note that The Atlantic's account system is separate from our commenting system. To log in or register with The Atlantic, use the Sign In button at the top of every page.

blog comments powered by Disqus

Video

A New York City Minute, Frozen in Time

This short film takes you on a whirling tour of the Big Apple

Video

What Happened to the Milky Way?

Light pollution has taken away our ability to see the stars. Can we save the night sky?

Video

The Faces of #BlackLivesMatter

Scenes from a recent protest in New York City

Video

Ruth Bader Ginsburg on Life

The Supreme Court justice talks gender equality and marriage.

Video

The Pentagon's $1.5 Trillion Mistake

The F-35 fighter jet was supposed to do everything. Instead, it can barely do anything.

More in Politics

Just In