 Share
|
« Previous Politics | Next Politics » |
Email
Print
|
A Very Speculative Matchup: Obama Crushes Palin, Bloomberg In 2012
By
Another tidbit from Marist's new poll: in what Marist bills as a "VERY Hypothetical Matchup" for 2012, President Obama dominates a presidential race against Sarah Palin and an independent Michael Bloomberg, who have hypothetically stepped up to challenge him.
Marist's results: Obama 44%, Palin 29%, Bloomberg 15%, with 12% unsure of how they'd vote. The question was asked of 910 registered voters nationwide Feb. 1-3, margin of error +/-3.5%.
Obama is helped by Bloomberg's independent run, which collects votes from 20% of Republicans while only taking 4% of Democrats.
Among the myriad things that could change between now and 2012, one of them is party identification. Marist's response pool, narrowed by its own specifications, had 36% self-identified Democrats, 28% Republicans, and 34% independents, which is differentially along the same lines as the Pollster.com average among major polls (32% Democrat, 24.4% Republican, and 38.2% independent).
Party ID will likely change between now and 2012. Right now, it looks as if Republicans are poised to make up a bit of the deficit they ran in 2008, but how it will change is anybody's guess.
Marist's results: Obama 44%, Palin 29%, Bloomberg 15%, with 12% unsure of how they'd vote. The question was asked of 910 registered voters nationwide Feb. 1-3, margin of error +/-3.5%.
Obama is helped by Bloomberg's independent run, which collects votes from 20% of Republicans while only taking 4% of Democrats.
Among the myriad things that could change between now and 2012, one of them is party identification. Marist's response pool, narrowed by its own specifications, had 36% self-identified Democrats, 28% Republicans, and 34% independents, which is differentially along the same lines as the Pollster.com average among major polls (32% Democrat, 24.4% Republican, and 38.2% independent).
Party ID will likely change between now and 2012. Right now, it looks as if Republicans are poised to make up a bit of the deficit they ran in 2008, but how it will change is anybody's guess.
Join the Discussion
After you comment, click Post. If you’re not already logged in you will be asked to log in or register. blog comments powered by Disqus