The Post-Coakley Panic Of 2010


The Democratic panic attack started well before Martha Coakley saw her party's 60-seat Senate majority--and with it the chances to pass the detailed platform its once-immensely-popular president had campaigned on--slip into the hands of an apparently likable, salt-of-the-earth Republican named Scott Brown in one of the most Democratic states in the nation.

Cognizance settled into the Washington-based nerve centers of politics and media last week that Brown really was ahead in the race, as poll after reputable poll came out saying that was the case, and as Coakley produced gaffe after excruciating gaffe in the final five days of the campaign.

But optimism held on, and the Democrats' panic didn't bloom into a vicious, hysterical festival of finger-pointing and self-doubt until Election Day--when Democratic insiders blamed the Coakley campaign, a campaign adviser blamed national Democrats, and a party official accused the campaign of "the worst case of political malpractice in memory"--and now, even with some more tempered, on-message reactions prevailing after the results came in Tuesday night, it is clear that some Democrats are in a full-blown crisis of confidence about the agenda they've pursued over the past year and whether Democratic lawmakers will still have jobs after 2010.

Shortly after the race was called, Sen. Jim Webb (D-VA), a Blue Dog-esque moderate representing a moderate state, who came into Congress in the 2006 Democratic wave, released a statement suggesting Democrats should freeze health care reform in the Senate, suspending any votes until Brown gets seated--something Democratic leaders may or may not do.

"In many ways, the campaign in Massachusetts became a referendum not only on health care reform, but also on the openness and integrity of our government process. It is vital that we restore the respect of the American people in our system of government and in our leaders. To that end, I believe it would only be fair and prudent that we suspend further votes on health care legislation until Senator-elect Brown is seated," Webb said.

It was an analysis that confirmed Democrats' fears about the race, and Webb wasn't alone in offering it: many of his fellow partisans, reacting to the Coakley loss, took the election at face value as a referendum on health care--some going much further, insinuating it as a sign that Democrats have headed in the wrong direction altogether this past year--a take that rang eerily similar, at times, to how Republicans had categorized the race so loudly and insistently in the previous days.

Sen. Evan Bayh (D-IN), another moderate (who, like Webb, was at one time rumored to be Obama's favored running mate in 2008) called for the Democratic Party to heed the lesson of Massachusetts even before votes were counted in the Bay State.

Democrats would find themselves "in even further catastrophe" if they failed to learn from the "wake-up call" of Coakley's pending defeat, Bayh said.

"It's why moderates and independents even in a state as Democratic as Massachusetts just aren't buying our message," Bayh told ABC News. "They just don't believe the answers we are currently proposing are solving their problems.  That's something that has to be corrected."

The crisis of confidence wasn't limited to moderates. Rep. Anthony Weiner (D-NY), a progressive, appeared on MSNBC as votes were beginning to be tallied and predicted the death of health care reform, at least in its current state, if Coakley lost--giving up on the idea of cobbling together a compromise and passing it before Brown becomes a senator.

"I don't see how we get this done," he said.

"[W]hatever the results are tonight is pretty clear that a lot of voters don't like the direction we're going on health care," Weiner said, suggesting Democrats "take a step back" and try to pass a scaled-down version of health reform as part of a jobs bill.

Passing the Senate bill through the House, or quickly finishing negotiations and trying to finagle a Senate vote that would include still-sitting replacement Senator Paul Kirk, are still options being discussed, but Weiner was ready to discount them completely.

Mary Anne Marsh, a prominent Massachusetts-based Democratic strategist, suggested on Fox that, while Coakley had proven to be a strong candidate in the Democratic primary, "this certainly is going to send a chill across the country to every Democrat with a title in front of their names, especially if you're up in 2010."

Even Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee Chairman Robert Menendez sized up this election as a bleak result for Democrats: "I have no interest in sugar coating what happened in Massachusetts. There is a lot of anxiety in the country right now. Americans are understandably impatient," he said in a more measured statement on the results.

Arianna Huffington, appearing on MSNBC, called it a referendum on President Obama's Wall Street policies, asserting that "he is not believed" when he talks about taking on the status quo, "because he is the status quo."

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Chris Good is a political reporter for ABC News. He was previously an associate editor at The Atlantic and a reporter for The Hill.

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