The Equation In New Jersey: Why It's Close

A Sitting Governor's Approval Rating at less than 40%
A perennially disgruntled populace
One of the highest taxed states in the country
A reconfigured off-off-year electorate
Disaffected Democrats
A crusading, anti-corruption, independent Republican who, it turns out, made some questionable decisions of his own
Attention paid to the challenge's obesity
A last minute draping of the presidential coattails

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Marc Ambinder is an Atlantic contributing editor. He is also a senior contributor at Defense One, a contributing editor at GQ, and a regular contributor at The Week.

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