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Polling: The Demographics: The Younger Voters
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More from Pew's megasurvey:
The demographics are fairly predictable, but Pew's sample included only 88 voters between the ages of 18 and 29 -- less than 8 percent of the sample. In 2004, 17% of voters were between the ages of 18 and 29, and it's reasonable to assume that the figure will be, at bottom, 20%. Factoring my turnout assumption in, Obama's margin over McCain in the poll is about 6 percentage points, not three.
Other highlights from the poll: Obama is doing worse among evangelicals and better among folks with college degrees... all not surprising.
The demographics are fairly predictable, but Pew's sample included only 88 voters between the ages of 18 and 29 -- less than 8 percent of the sample. In 2004, 17% of voters were between the ages of 18 and 29, and it's reasonable to assume that the figure will be, at bottom, 20%. Factoring my turnout assumption in, Obama's margin over McCain in the poll is about 6 percentage points, not three.
Other highlights from the poll: Obama is doing worse among evangelicals and better among folks with college degrees... all not surprising.
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