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Matthew Yglesias

Matthew Yglesias - Matthew Yglesias is a fellow at the Center for American Progress Action Fund.
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Matthew Yglesias is a fellow at the Center for American Progress. His first book, with the working title Heads in the Sand: Iraq and the Strange Death of Liberal Internationalism, scheduled to be published next spring by John Wiley and co., deals with the Democratic Party's struggle to find a post-9/11 foreign policy, focusing primarily on the rise and (hopefully) fall of the liberal hawk movement.

Previously, he was a staff writer at The American Prospect and an Associate Editor at TPM Media, where he contributed to the group blogs Tapped and TPMCafe. His main blog, now at The Atlantic, has existed in various forms since the dark ages of the blogosphere in January 2002.

His writing has appeared in The Guardian, Slate, The New Republic, and The Washington Monthly, and he is a regular on BloggingHeads.tv and makes the occasional radio or television appearance.

Desperately out of touch with the American mainstream, Yglesias was born and raised in Manhattan and studied philosophy at Harvard where he was editor in chief of The Harvard Independent, a campus alternative weekly.

His latest writings can be found on the Matthew Yglesias blog.

Polling as Witchcraft

By Matthew Yglesias
Apr 9 2008, 11:42 AM ET Comment

One thing that's interesting to me about the way our politics works is that pollsters have this almost witchdoctor-like role in political campaigns. They're extremely important, influential advisers and they're wielding all this survey data and entrails and so forth, but at the end of the day they really seem to just be winging it every bit as much as anyone else. Take this from yesterday's NYT article on disagreements between Mark Penn and Geoff Garin:

Inside the Clinton team, Mr. Penn advocated increasingly sharp attacks on Mr. Obama as Mrs. Clinton’s best option. Long before he joined the campaign, Mr. Garin argued that her route to success lay more in presenting her strengths than in assailing her opponent.


This is obviously a big question, and yet two well-regarded pollsters have no kind of consensus over it, and it's clear enough that you're not going to resolve the dispute by surveying more people or staring longer at existing surveys. But so what, exactly, is the special authority of the pollster supposed to be?

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