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Marc Ambinder

Marc Ambinder - Marc Ambinder is the White House correspondent for National Journal and a contributing editor at The Atlantic. More

Marc Ambinder is the White House correspondent for National Journal. He previously served as the politics editor, and is now a contributing editor, for The Atlantic, where he curated the influential Politics channel on TheAtlantic.com and contributed to the magazine. He was also a chief political consultant to CBS News. Earlier, at NJ's Hotline, Ambinder was the founding editor of "Hotline On Call," a pathbreaking political news blog. He also worked as a producer and reporter for the ABC News Political Unit and was one of the founders of ABC's "The Note." Born in New York City, raised in Central Florida, Ambinder is a 2001 graduate of Harvard and lives in Washington, D.C.

Obama Can't Win The General?

By Marc Ambinder
Mar 13 2008, 4:18 PM ET Comment

They let Mark Penn out to speak and... this happens.

The USA Today link includes two minutes worth of audio, so you can make up your mind about the context.

Of course Obama can win the general election; it's illogical to generalize from the vote totals alone, as I and others have pointed out. Yes, Obama's Gary Hart-Jesse Jackson coalition is untested in modern general elections, but we live in hyperpartisan times, Democrats have an enormous partisan identification identification advantage, and Democrats are much more enthusiastic about their candidate than Republicans are. There's just no way to justify Penn's assertion from reading a poll.

It is worth pointing out that several polls suggest that Obama may lose white working class voters, especially men, to John McCain. That's something to keep an eye on. But it's not a reason to pre-emptively declare that he can't win the general election.

Incidentally, there are several conversations at once.

Penn is talking to reporters and superdelegates.

Clinton and Obama are talking to voters and superdelegates.

Republicans -- those folks who are playing the Jeremiah Wright sermons -- are talking to their activists.

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