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Tight Races In Nevada, Florida
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For Nevada, in a poll conducted for the Reno Journal Gazette:
Obama: 32%
Clinton: 30%
Edwards: 27%
McCain: 22%
Giuliani: 18%
Huckabee: 16%
Romney: 15%
Thompson: 11%
And in Florida, the big lede is that Rudy Giuliani's campaign is, indeed, sensitive to momentum, per a Quinnipiac poll.
Giuliani: 22
McCain: 20
Huckabee: 19
Romney: 19
What this also means: if Mitt Romney somehow wins Michigan, he can skip South Carolina and put all his chips down in Florida, and probably come away with a strong showing.
If McCain wins Michigan... he has a better chance to win South Carolina (off the Huckabee / Thompson convergence) and swing into Florida in a good position to dethrone Rudy Giuliani.
Obama: 32%
Clinton: 30%
Edwards: 27%
McCain: 22%
Giuliani: 18%
Huckabee: 16%
Romney: 15%
Thompson: 11%
And in Florida, the big lede is that Rudy Giuliani's campaign is, indeed, sensitive to momentum, per a Quinnipiac poll.
Giuliani: 22
McCain: 20
Huckabee: 19
Romney: 19
What this also means: if Mitt Romney somehow wins Michigan, he can skip South Carolina and put all his chips down in Florida, and probably come away with a strong showing.
If McCain wins Michigan... he has a better chance to win South Carolina (off the Huckabee / Thompson convergence) and swing into Florida in a good position to dethrone Rudy Giuliani.
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