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Narrow lead so far for McCain. County-by-county breakdown seems to favor a narrow McCain victory. This, though, tends to re-enforce what I was saying earlier -- whoever wins is going to win a pretty narrow victory with less than forty percent of the vote. Hardly a decisive blow to the loser. But of course a McCain win of any sort will be spun by the press as the greatest landslide since Johnson/Goldwater.

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Matthew Yglesias is a former writer and editor at The Atlantic.

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