Caucus Day: Surprises

Joe Biden could be fourth or tied for third; John McCain could finish third; the latter would be a development worth noting in the coverage today.... in fact, it's been noted and predicted so much, it's almost expected that he'll finish fifth.... McCain has no real organization here, and any and all support is entirely endogenous. McCain could be unbeatable -- his three strongest states, organizationally, are New Hampshire and Michigan and South Carolina, and the Giuliani campaign does not want to run against him.