Scott Rasmussen : The Elites Versus The Activists

More

One of the more fascinating manifestations of the split between the elite press and the newer media is in how they treat the robotic (or automated) polls of Scott Rasmussen . Mr. Rasmussen uses a variety of screens and can poll so often and so cheaply because he does not use humans to ask the questions. A computer-generated questioner interacts with the voter, who presses the corresponding button a touch-tone phone.

The press -- and the pollsters who consult for them and most campaign pollsters -- dismiss Rasmussen out of hand. For the latter group, there may be an element of competitive jealousy in the mix, but there are also valid reasons to be skeptical about screening and sample bias in automated surveys and contact and cooperation rates with voters. Democrats in particular tend to be skeptical because Rasmussen is a conservative.

For conservative activists, they are the equivalent of crack, and much, much less deadly.

Occasionally, the campaigns whose pollsters denigrate Mr. Rasmussen's polls often drop their skepticism and cite them when those polls bounce in a positive direction.

Yesterday, Fred Thompson's press shop issued a release with the headline: "Thompson Tied for First in National Poll; Giuliani in Free Fall."

While Fred Thompson travels the nation with his message of consistent conservatism and touts his border security and immigration reform proposal, a recent national tracking poll shows that Thompson has pulled into a virtual tie with Rudy Giuliani. This poll further shows that Rudy has lost almost a third of his support in the last 12 days. (Margin of error is +/- 4 percent)


The source for these numbers is a Rasmussen survey.

This press release was clearly not intended for those of us who work for established publications.

It was aimed at the newer generation of opinion leaders.

But if and when anyone from Thompson's team ever dumps on the Rasmussen robots, I will be the first to let you know.

Fun fact: Scott Rasmussen is a co-founder of ESPN.

Jump to comments

Atlantic contributing editor Marc Ambinder is co-writing a book on national security and secrecy. More


Get Today's Top Stories in Your Inbox (preview)


Elsewhere on the web

Join the Discussion

After you comment, click Post. If you’re not already logged in you will be asked to log in or register. blog comments powered by Disqus

Video

Miami: The Next Big Start-Up City?

How the city became a center for innovation

Video

Video

A Brief History of Romantic Comedies

From The Atlantic's Chris Orr

Video

Life in 'the New Arctic'

A moving portrait of a fading landscape

Video

Video

The Rise of New York City

A fascinating look at Manhattan in the 1940s

Video

What Is Methane Hydrate?

"Flaming ice" is a vast natural energy source

Video

NASA's Time-Lapse of the Sun

Now with epic dubstep music

Video

Shaken Not Tuned: Cocktail Experiments

Can a tuning fork improve a cocktail?

Video

Video

Is He Cheating? A 1950s Guide

'That little blonde secretary from the office?’

Video

New Yorkers: Vintage Vacuum-Tube Amps

Risking electric shock to restore old amplifiers

Video

The DIY Piano-Bicycle

Everybody needs a hobby

Video

What Does It Take to Make Real Craft Gin?

Tour the Green Hat Gin distillery

Video

Letter From the Editor

The June 2013 issue

Video

What Straights Can Learn From Same-Sex Couples

New insight from decades of research

Video

The End of the Mall Rat

A tribute to that pillar of teen culture

Writers

Up
Down

More in Politics

In Focus

Finland in World War II

Just In