Some Second Quarter Fundraising Predictions -- UPDATED

Bear in mind that I retain the right to revise these as I receive additional information.

The Democrats:

Sen. Barack Obama: $28M-$35M
-- only a very few Obama staffers have access to estimates, and they're not talking
-- almost entirely primary money
-- cash on hand should be north of $32M

Sen. Hillary Clinton: $26M-28M
-- The primary/general election ratio will be around 5 to 1).
-- Projected cash on hand should be north of $40M

Ex-Sen. John Edwards: $8.5M-11M
-- virtually all for the primary
-- cash on hand should be greater than $15M

Gov. BIll Richardson: $3-7M
Sen. Joe Biden: $3-5M
Sen. Chris Dodd: $2-M

The Republicans:

Gov. Mitt Romney: $17M-20M
-- Romney did NOT have the highest burn rate, contrary to what I wrote earlier. He spent the most money, but his burn rate was well below that of Sen. John McCain's. I'll assume the 50% rate held through the second quarter, so he's in reasonably good shape if he has more than $18M in reserves.

Ex-NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani: $14M-17M
-- cash on hand should be north of $16M assuming a burn rate of less than 50%

Sen. John McCain: $13M-15M
-- cash on hand should be north of $14M assuming a burn rate of less than 50%

Gov. Mike Huckabee: $2M-4M

Presented by

Marc Ambinder is an Atlantic contributing editor. He is also a senior contributor at Defense One, a contributing editor at GQ, and a regular contributor at The Week.

Join the Discussion

After you comment, click Post. If you’re not already logged in you will be asked to log in or register with Disqus.

Please note that The Atlantic's account system is separate from our commenting system. To log in or register with The Atlantic, use the Sign In button at the top of every page.

blog comments powered by Disqus


Photos of New York City, in Motion

A filmmaker animated hundreds of still photographs to create this Big Apple flip book


The Absurd Psychology of Restaurant Menus

Would people eat healthier if celery was called "cool celery?"


This Japanese Inn Has Been Open For 1,300 Years

It's one of the oldest family businesses in the world.


What Happens Inside a Dying Mind?

Science cannot fully explain near-death experiences.

More in Politics

Just In