Comprehensive immigration reform looks to be dead. I don't buy the theory that this was liberals' best chance for a sensible bill. The polling -- unless you adopt the Mickey Kaus method of relying exclusively on Rasmussen -- doesn't support the notion that there's overwhelming public opposition to reform.

The objective social conditions militating in favor of reform -- namely, a status quo that nobody's happy with, and that everyone is increasingly less happy with every year -- aren't going to vanish. Meanwhile the odds favor political circumstances growing more favorable to reform, both in terms of more Democrats in congress (and the White House), but also in terms of remaining Republicans growing skeptical that fealty to the base is the best path back to power.