Prediction

I haven't actually been following the midterms especially closely for someone in my line of work, largely because my track record of election prognostication is very poor so I figured I'd just try and figure out what happened ex post, but lemme lay down a marker with my predictions: Democrats +4 in the Senate and +19 in the House. This is relatively downbeat compared to what you'll hear from some other folks, but remember that if you heard this prediction 12 months ago it would have sounded wildly optimistic.