Romney's Big Mo

Okay, maybe "big" is a little much. But he has seems to have a clear path, barring a Fred Thompson surge, to winning Iowa. An Iowa victory in a noncompetitive race isn't all that impressive, but neither is it just a native-son victory like Tom Harkin in 1992, so a win will give him at least a slight bump in media attention heading into New Hampshire, where he's certain to be competitive anyway. If he takes New Hampshire, he'll be headed into Florida as a two-time winner, which in a foreshortened primary season will make him the natural rallying point for the anti-Giuliani vote. It's a safe bet, I think, that the race will either be over or down to two candidates after Super Tuesday, and I also think it's a safe bet that Rudy will be one of the final two; Romney's Iowa edge, if he can hold it, makes it that much more likely that he'll be the other man standing at that point. (Though of course the flip side of this is that if loses New Hampshire to anyone except Rudy, he's probably toast.)

I also think Rich Lowry makes a good point (one of several in the post) about Romney and the debates:

I take it for granted Romney is going to be polished and make a good impression, so I may discount it and judge him in a more niggling way. But most voters won't do this.

Which may explain that Frank Luntz focus group.

(And yes, I'm trying to give Daniel Larison an ulcer.)

Ross Douthat is a former writer and editor at The Atlantic.

How to Cook Spaghetti Squash (and Why)

Cooking for yourself is one of the surest ways to eat well. Bestselling author Mark Bittman teaches James Hamblin the recipe that everyone is Googling.

Join the Discussion

After you comment, click Post. If you’re not already logged in you will be asked to log in or register.

blog comments powered by Disqus


How to Cook Spaghetti Squash (and Why)

Cooking for yourself is one of the surest ways to eat well.


Before Tinder, a Tree

Looking for your soulmate? Write a letter to the "Bridegroom's Oak" in Germany.


The Health Benefits of Going Outside

People spend too much time indoors. One solution: ecotherapy.


Where High Tech Meets the 1950s

Why did Green Bank, West Virginia, ban wireless signals? For science.


Yes, Quidditch Is Real

How J.K. Rowling's magical sport spread from Hogwarts to college campuses


Would You Live in a Treehouse?

A treehouse can be an ideal office space, vacation rental, and way of reconnecting with your youth.

Just In