Will Moderation Win in 2008?

The Atlantic recently asked a group of political insiders—selected for their campaign experience, political knowledge, and ties to key voting blocs—about the strength of the religious right and the antiwar left.
Can someone who is not clearly identified as an antiwar candidate win the Democratic presidential nomination in 2008?
71% Yes

“The ’08 nominee will be selected on their plan for the future—dealing with the mess in Iraq—not on how or why we got there.”

“Yes. In the end it is a question of trust. Bush’s problem is he never admits a mistake. That itself is a mistake.”

“Absolutely yes. Someone who favored the war, as did a majority of Americans, can bring us back together in the wake of this tragic mistake.”

“Yes, but it will be difficult. In the last election, Howard Dean’s early appeal was his opposition to the war, and while that wasn’t enough to win him the nomination, it was the only thing that made him a viable candidate. Things have not gotten any better, so opposition to the war—or a thoughtful approach that is very different from the current situation—will be popular.”

“Yes. Hillary [Clinton] can and probably will win.”

“For the sake of the national aspirations of the Democratic Party, I hope so. The Connecticut Senate race is a highly instructive and cautionary tale in that regard.”

26% No

“I think a good deal of what we are seeing in the national dissatisfaction with the Republicans is their positioning on Iraq. There are other issues, but [America’s] international blunders create an amazing dilemma for them. I can’t imagine a rationale for a Democratic candidate that doesn’t begin and end with the war.”

“Every serious Democratic candidate will position themselves as strongly antiwar, including Senator Clinton. Some candidates will have more credibility as an antiwar candidate than others, but they will all be antiwar.”

3% Depends/Don't know (volunteered)

 

This poll was sent out to the following individuals, who are regularly surveyed on political matters by National Journal, as sister publication of the Atlantic:

GOP Insiders Dan Allen, Stan Anderson, Gary Andres, Saulius “Saul” Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Brett Bader, Mitch Bainwol, Gary Bauer, David Beckwith, Wayne Berman, Charlie Black, Kirk Blalock, Carmine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Jeff Buley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Jim Cicconi, Jake Corman, Greg Crist, Diane Crookham-Johnson, Rick Davis, Mike Dennehy, Ken Duberstein, Steve Duprey, Debi Durham, Frank Fahrenkopf, John Feehery, Don Fierce, Alex Gage, David Girard-diCarlo, Bill Greener, Lanny Griffith, Janet Mullins Grissom, Doug Gross, Steve Hart, Ralph Hellmann, Chris Henick, Clark Judge, David Keating, David Kensinger, Bruce Keough, Bob Kjellander, Ed Kutler, Chris Lacivita, Jim Lake, Chuck Larson, Steve Lombardo, Joel Maiola, Mary Matalin, Dan Mattoon, Bill McInturff, Mark McKinnon, Kyle McSlarrow, Jim Merrill, Mike Murphy, Terry Nelson, Neil Newhouse, David Norcross, Ziad Ojakli, Jack Oliver, Tony Perkins, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, David Rehr, Steve Roberts, David Roederer, Ed Rogers, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Rick Shelby, Don Sipple, Javier Soto, Fred Steeper, Eric Tanenblatt, Heath Thompson, Jay Timmons, Warren Tompkins, Dirk van Dongen, Jan van Lohuizen, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Dave Winston, and Ginny Wolfe.

Democratic Insiders Karen Ackerman, David Axelrod, Dave Beattie, Andy Bechhoefer, Mitchell W. Berger, Mike Berman, Donna Brazile, Mark Brewer, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Deb Callahan, Bonnie Campbell, Bill Carrick, Tony Coelho, Jim Craig, Jerry Crawford, Jeff Danielson, Jim Demers, Tad Devine, Monica Dixon, Tom Donilon, Anita Dunn, Steve Elmendorf, Eric Eve, Vic Fazio, Scott Ferson, Tina Flournoy, Don Foley, Don Fowler, Gina Glantz, Joe Grandmaison, Anna Greenberg, Stan Greenberg, Pat Griffin, Michael Gronstal, Marcia Hale, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Harold Ickes, Marcus Jadotte, Steve Jarding, Jim Jordan, Gale Kaufman, Shar Knutson, Kam Kuwata, Celinda Lake, David Lang, Sylvia Larsen, Jeff Link, Bill Lynch, Steve Marchand, Jim Margolis, Paul Maslin, Terry McAuliffe, Caroline McCarley, Gerald McEntee, Tom McMahon, Mark Mellman, John Merrigan, Steve Murphy, David Nassar, Marcia Nichols, John Norris, Tom Ochs, Tom O’Donnell, Jeffrey Peck, Debora Pignatelli, John Podesta, Tony Podesta, Bruce Reed, Steve Ricchetti, Susan Rice, Will Robinson, Steve Rosenthal, John Ryan, Wendy Sherman, Terry Shumaker, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Darry Sragow, Karl Struble, Katrina Swett, Sarah Swisher, Eric Tabor, Jeffrey Trammell, Ed Turlington, Mike Veon, Rick Wiener, Bridgette Williams, and JoDee Winterhof.

Photo by Brooks Kraft/Corbis

Presented by

The Best 71-Second Animation You'll Watch Today

A rock monster tries to save a village from destruction.

Join the Discussion

After you comment, click Post. If you’re not already logged in you will be asked to log in or register.

blog comments powered by Disqus

Video

The Best 71-Second Animation You'll Watch Today

A rock monster tries to save a village from destruction.

Video

The Case for Napping at Work

Most Americans don't get enough sleep. More and more employers are trying to help address that.

Video

A Four-Dimensional Tour of Boston

In this groundbreaking video, time moves at multiple speeds within a single frame.

Video

Who Made Pop Music So Repetitive? You Did.

If pop music is too homogenous, that's because listeners want it that way.

Video

Stunning GoPro Footage of a Wildfire

In the field with America’s elite Native American firefighting crew

More in Politics

More back issues, Sept 1995 to present.

Just In