1
How many men can live on earth at once, and how long
and fully they can live, depend on man's ability to control energy and matter.
Those qualities of mind and spirit that give human life its sense and value
cannot be developed until each of us has attained a certain minimal material
standard of living. Philosophers may differ regarding how adequately a person
should be fed, clothed, housed, protected, transported, educated, and
entertained for his own best good, but the whole course of evolution shows that
increased ability to control energy and matter is what enables any creature to
come increasingly alive.
In an economy in which most people are farmers, the
energy controlled by humans is stored in food and feed. These consist of
complex molecules whose production involves the waste of more than 99 per cent
of the solar energy showered on the plants in which they grow, and the.ir use
entails much further energy loss. When the United States first became a
republic, labor by people furnished about a quarter, and that by animals a
half, of all the energy that kept the nation and its inhabitants functioning.
In many countries most work is still done by using the human body as a
converter of chemical into mechanical energy, with wife and bullock of nearly
equal importance. Though in such countries as India more than 90 per cent of
human labor is spent in growing and distributing food, not enough can be
produced for everyone. As a consequence many starve, and less than one
twentieth of human effort is devoted to occupations other than those involving bare
subsistence. Storing energy in starches, sugars, and fats to be later released
in the sweat of man's brow is expensive, inefficient, and if overdone, in a 70‑hour
week, uncomfortable.
Because we in the United States now do most of our
work with machines that take energy from simple sources, each citizen can have
2000 times as much energy working for him as was available in 1800. In the last
fifty years, we have acquired 4 million farm tractors, and have gotten rid of
three fourths of our draft horses and mules, much of whose effort was spent in
raising their own feed. A tractor or a bulldozer can do the work of a dozen
horses and six men, or of forty men with shovels, on energy costing $1.69 a
day. In the United States, productivity per person has been doubling every
generation for many years. Now each man, woman, and child has nearly 10
horsepower working for him day and night, instead of the 2 horsepower of 1900.
With only 7 per cent of the world's population, we control almost half of its
supply of power, and as a result our standard of living is seven times the
average of the rest of the world.
Our ability to convert energy efficiently from one
form to another continues to increase rapidly. Forty years ago one kilowatt‑hour
of electrical energy could be obtained from about 3.5 pounds of coal. Today
only one pound is needed, and 12 ounces will soon be enough. The small gasoline
engines that have been developed to propel boats, lawn mowers, and snowplows,
because they can carry their energy stored in a small tank, are too noisy,
dirty, and hard to start to serve the housewife indoors for running her
dishwasher, vacuum cleaner, or clothes drier. So electric motors are used, even
though they must be fed energy through wires. This motor is a great emancipator
of human hands, for it is clean and quiet, can be made to exert any strength
desired, is tireless, seldom needs attention, and uses no energy when at rest.
When we buy energy we pay, not for the energy itself,
but for the effort that went into gathering it and bringing it to us. One
kilowatt‑hour of electric energy costs only a few tenths of a cent to
generate with either burning coal or falling water, but ft usually costs ten
times as much when delivered to the home. Most of the extra charge is for transmission
costs, and for the privilege of turning the power on or off at will.
The cheapest way to carry energy, especially over
long distances, at least, until the coming of nuclear power, has been to keep
it locked up in molecules of coal or oil, and to carry these in a ship.
Overland, when thousands of miles of travel are involved, it is most feasible
economically to pump oil or gas through a large pipeline like the Big Inch.
This method may also be applied in the future to coal, powdered and floated in water
or oil. But even when the cheapest and best of these methods is used, carrying
energy to the consumer ordinarily costs from four to ten times as much as
getting it out of the ground or scooping it from a waterfall with a
hydroelectric plant.
The age of nuclear energy will bring great savings in
energy transport, for a pound of uranium carries more releasable energy than
1500 tons of coal. When the new methods of conversion have been better
developed, the cost of transferring energy to the power station should become
negligible, and power plants to feed big cities should become emancipated from
the necessity of being located near the seacoast, or near coal mines,
waterfalls, or dam sites.
2
All of the energy we use, except "atomic
energy," has come to us from the sun. Three fourths of it came to earth
ages ago, and was stored first in the leaf cells of plants and later in coal,
oil, and gas deposits, which we now are rapidly depleting. The other fourth,
including water power and the energy stored in the molecules of foodstuffs,
made its eight minute journey from the sun only recently. This glowing globe
sends us 20,000 times as much energy as we use now for every purpose -‑
energy equal in a single day to that released by 2 million atomic bombs of the
Hiroshima variety. But we don't know yet how to capture and store this energy
effectively enough to make it worth using in large quantities, except through
intermediate concentration and storage by nature in plants and in the clouds.
Both of these processes are, of course, very wasteful.
All of the energy the earth gets from the sun goes to
keep it warm, but this energy could be used for many purposes first, and later
would keep the earth warm anyway, like water, which, after dancing in a
fountain, can be piped off to keep the garden green. Neither energy nor matter
is ever "used up"; they are only converted and modified until they
escape into the basic reservoirs of each, where they get out of reach of
mankind.
We use energy in three principal ways. In America,
roughly a third is used to help control the environment by heating homes and
factories, another third goes to process matter in mining and industry, and the
remainder is spent in moving ourselves and our possessions from place to place
in ships, airplanes, autos, trains, and streetcars.
Until 1880, most of the energy used by man came from
burning wood, which was replaceable. Since then we have relied on irreplaceable
coal, oil, and gas, whose great value lies in the concentrated form of the
energy they hold and in the ease with which this can be released simply by
combining their molecules with oxygen. The energy in a pound of gasoline can
push an auto twenty times as far as that in a pound of storage battery fully
charged.
Seventy billion barrels of oil have been removed from
the earth's crust, and in each generation those who should know predict that
the supply will near exhaustion by the time another generation has passed. But
the main reason we can seldom see more than twenty‑five years' worth of
petroleum resources ahead is that the oil industry becomes less diligent in
hunting for more oil when its reserves are built up to that degree.
Geophysicists are still able to find oil faster than the world can burn it, but
their hunting methods must constantly be made more sensitive, and how long they
will be able to keep this up is anybody's guess. When all the oil wells do go
dry, oil shale, a mixture of rock and petroleum, of which enough is in sight to
keep industry going for a hundred years or so, can be processed for fuel. After
this is gone, coal can be hydrogenated, though at some loss in efficiency, to
form liquid fuels. In South Africa, where there are no oil wells, but where the
concentration of automobiles in some cities is as great as in the United
States, 3000 tons of coal are now converted into oil each day by the addition
of hydrogen atoms.
Though the coal in sight may last the world for a
thousand years, less coal is now being mined in America than in 1910. The coal
industry needs a heavy dose of technological salts to bring it back to its
proper position as a leading supplier of packaged energy. Coal is harder to get
out of the ground than oil; it must be carried on land by rail, which is more
expensive than pumping oil through pipes; and it leaves ash. These limitations
may well be removed by burning, powdering, or fluidizing coal at the mine, and
then piping the resulting products to places where they are needed.
Water power is appealing because it is clean, can
readily be converted into electric energy, and is constantly being replenished
by the evaporation, caused by solar heat, of water that falls again as rain. It
is not cheap to collect, however, and only 5 per cent of the energy now used in
the United States comes from this source. If all the potential dam sites were
developed, the resulting power would fill only one fourth of our present needs.
Yet much more can be done to make hydroelectric power available. In such countries
as India, hydroelectric sites lie undeveloped while peasants cook their one hot
meal a day on burning dung from holy cows.
Despite the advantages of oil and coal, more wood is
cut for fuel today in the world than ever before. In Brazil, 85 per cent of all
energy used still comes from wood. However, in forward-looking countries
wood is becoming more valuable as matter than as a source of energy. All the
cellulose our forests can produce will soon be needed for lumber and paper, and
for rayon and other fibers that can be made from cellulose molecules. By A.D.
2000, less than forty‑five years away, our forests should be routinely
tidied up to serve as factories that use the energy of sunlight to make complex
molecules out of simple carbon dioxide and water from the air.
There are several vast sources of energy that we do
not now find it worthwhile to tap. A storm of the sort that passes
occasionally, giving the normal rainfall, develops several hundred billion
horsepower, and inventors have always dreamed of using the energy of the wind.
Even a minor hurricane releases energy as fast as a thousand atomic bombs
exploding each second. But this power is hard to harness; and a source of
energy, to be industrially useful, must be dependable and not too variable in
output. To be effective as a power converter, a windmill must be very large.
Calculations show a good diameter to be 225 feet, topping a twenty-story
building, and for industrial power, such a windmill should give out at least
2000 kilowatts, no matter how fast the air is moving. However, when a breeze
blows up to merely twice its former speed, it does eight times as much work as
before. A zephyr blowing at less than 920 miles an hour is too weak to give the
needed power; when it rises to a hurricane of 100 miles an hour, five times as
fast, it is able to do 125 times as much work but is likely to blow the
windmill away. As a consequence, we use more energy to make wind with electric fans and airplane propellers than
we take from sails or windmills to operate machinery.
Much energy is stored in the ocean, as temperature
difference between the warm surface and cooler depths, in waves, and in the
tides. The great size needed and losses from storms have in the past kept
installations for collecting energy from the ocean and waves from being
successful. Attempts to take energy from the tides ‑‑ which might
well succeed in places where a great head of water rushes in and out at every
tidal flow and ebb, as in the Bay of Fundy ‑‑ have run up against
economic difficulties, because usually such locations are not near enough to
cities that need the power, and power transmission costs are high.
Recently we have become increasingly aware of two great
sources of energy that appear inexhaustible: the sun and the nuclei of atoms.
Will solar nuclear power run the industries of the future? The answer is: Both,
plus all the energy sources we exploit at present. Energy is so important to
man that his need for it is endless; he uses every new source to supplement
rather than to supplant his older supplies.
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