The Iran Nightmare Scenario

By Jeffrey Goldberg

Via Didi Remez, this, from Nahum Barnea, on one possible Iranian response to an Israeli attack:

"The means that may be most effective for the Iranians is war by proxies--Syria, Hizbullah and Hamas," Vered writes.  "(There will be) ongoing and massive rocket fire (and in the Syrian case, also various types of Scud missiles), which will cover most of the area of the country, disrupt the course of everyday life and cause casualties and property damage.  The effect of such fire will greatly increase if the enemy fires chemical, biological or radiological ordnance... massive Iranian support, by money and weapons, will help the organizations continue the fire over a period of indeterminate length... due to the long range of the rockets held by Hizbullah, Israel will have to occupy most of the territory of Lebanon, and hold the territory for a long time.  But then the IDF will enter a guerrilla war, a war the end of which is hard to predict, unless we evacuate the territory, and then the rocket fire will return...

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