Anthony Cordesman, via Reuel Marc Gerecht and Mark Dubowitz, notes the centrality of Iran's nuclear program to the regime's strategic vision:
The Americans and the Europeans have chosen not to underscore, Cordesman also points out, the fact that Tehran's entire military strategy for a quarter-century has been to develop atomic weapons to compensate for an irreversible lack of conventional power. Take away the nuclear program, and Khamenei's stewardship of his country and creed looks enfeebled. Nuclear weapons are the supreme leader's legacy.
A non-bold prediction: Iran will offer concessions at talks opening in Baghdad today that do not limit its ability to make advances toward a nuclear weapon. More later.