From what we know, it appears that Chen may not have wanted to be released from the American embassy, but neither he nor the U.S. had any real choice.
Update, 11:00am EST: The AP is now reporting that Chen "was told Chinese officials would have killed his wife had he not left embassy." He also "says he now wants to leave China, fears for family's safety." Sadly, this would seem to confirm reports this he was intimidated into leaving the U.S. embassy. Now that he is back in the hands of Chinese officials, it seems extremely unlikely that either he or his family will be able to return to the embassy.
Update, 11:08am EST: Nicholas Bequelin of Human Rights Watch reports, "In briefing to human rights groups senior US gvt officials said that they were counting on NGOs and the media to track Chen's well-being." In other words, the U.S. is conceding that it can't keep Chen safe.
Update, 11:38am EST: This photo appears to show Chen in the U.S. embassy in Beijing about 17 hours ago, or roughly 7 a.m. local time (it's now close to midnight). To the right is U.S. Ambassador Gary Locke, and very-senior State Department official Harold Koh to the left. Koh's title is "legal adviser" but, in practice, he works very closely with Hillary Clinton on high-level issues. The group's cheerful body language is a reminder of how drastically Chen's situation has changed over the course of the day.
Update, 11:55am EST: John Sparks of the UK's Channel 4 News says he secured an interview with Chen in the hospital, which others reporters have been barred from entering. Here are Chen's quotes. The language is a bit abbreviated because Sparks reported the interview on Twitter:
Nobody from the (US) Embassy is here (the hospital). I don't understand why. They promised to be here.
My biggest wish is to leave the country with my family and rest for a while. I haven't had a Sunday in 7yrs
[Channel 4 News] asked Chen Guangcheng - Did you go to the hospital because of medical emergency? Answer: No. I came because of an agreement. I was worried about the safety of my family. A gang of them have taken over our house, sitting in our room and eating at our table.
They are waving thick sticks around. They've turned our home into a prison with 7 cameras and electric fence all around.
When Chen Guangcheng was asked, "What do you want to tell the world?" Answer: that I want to leave China with my family for a while.
Update, 12:01pm EST: UK Channel 4 international editor Lindsey Hilsum clarifies that Chen's interview was over the phone, not in person. He was "confused and upset," she wrote on Twitter. Chen "had thought he'd be safe [because] of US/China agreement but wife scared."
On Sunday, the blind Chinese activist and lawyer Chen Guangcheng, who had made an enemy of his government by challenging the practices of forced abortions and forced sterilization, escaped from house arrest and fled into the U.S. embassy in Beijing. It certainly appeared as if he was seeking asylum -- why else enter the embassy, which he surely knew would infuriate his government? -- though he and U.S. officials insisted that he was not. Today, Chen was released from the embassy back into China.
We still don't know many of the details of what happened, and we may never know for sure what happened inside the embassy, among Chen's family members, or between Chen's family and the Chinese police. What little we do know, however, suggests that Chinese authorities may have intimidated Chen into staying and that the U.S. was ultimately powerless to help him. Here is some of what we do know:
- Officially, everything with Chen is fine. The official U.S. and Chinese government reports say that Chen wanted to be released, that he will not be returned to house arrest, and that he will be allowed to enroll in a university. He is currently in a Beijing hospital, though police are barring reporters from visiting him.
- It appears that Chen actually left under Chinese government threats to his family, allegedly including a threat to kill his wife. According to Zeng Jinyan, a high-profile Chinese activist, Chen's wife says that police have moved into her home, where they also installed cameras. The police also reportedly threatened to forcibly relocate Chen's family to rural Shandong province, where he was under house arrest, if Chen did not leave the embassy. Zeng made these comments on Twitter and then confirmed them with a number of reporters, including Austin Ramzy of Time and Steven Jiang of CNN.
- Chen did not actually want to leave the embassy and was willing to move to the U.S. with his family, also according to Jinyan, who says that Chen called her directly. "He said he hasn't had a phone since Friday, and he hasn't been able to contact friends. He would like to contact Mr. Smith of Congress, but that's impossible. He said he's willing to leave his family behind and leave China," she tweeted in Chinese. (Thanks to The Atlantic's Massoud Hayoun for translation.)
- Diplomatically, this has not been a cost-free episode for the already tense U.S.-China relationship. "The U.S. method was interference in Chinese domestic affairs, and this is totally unacceptable to China," a Foreign Ministry spokesman said. "China demands that the United States apologize over this, thoroughly investigate this incident, punish those who are responsible, and give assurances that such incidents will not happen again."
MORE ON CHEN GUANGCHENG
|The American Beacon in Beijing|
|The Geopolitics of Helping a Confused Blind Man|
|Preventing the Next Chen|
|New Challenges for U.S. in Beijing|
Chen's stay at the U.S. embassy put the Obama administration into a remarkably difficult situation: if it granted Chen asylum against Chinese wishes, it would infuriate the Chinese government on the eve of a senior-level summit to discuss the many things that America wants from China: help isolating Iran, a tougher Chinese policy on North Korea, more beneficial currency policies, and so on. If the U.S. denied Chen asylum, it would seemingly betray years of U.S. declarations of its support for human rights and democracy, as well as this courageous activist whose release the U.S. has long called for.