Trying not to get carried away here

But Nate has good news:

For John McCain to get back into this race, he is going to need some dramatic events to occur, and we don't know in which types of states such events might have a differential impact; something like an outbreak of hostilities in the Middle East could make a very different electoral footprint than new revelations about Barack Obama and William Ayers.

Check out the polling. I think it holds so much more weight then the pre-convention, pre-debate stuff. What we are seeing, as far as I am concerned, is the vindication of strategy, optimism and coolness. Much like in the primary Obama is sticking to his game-plan, not worrying about being baited into a contest of anger, but slowly choking the life out of his opponent. McCain is in the sleeper hold. The ref is now raising his hand for the second time...