Conservative Harvard economist Robert Barro glimpses disaster ahead:
There is a roughly one-in-five chance that U.S. GDP and consumption will fall by 10% or more, something not seen since the early 1930s.
Nate Silver is puzzled by the research.
This article available online at:
http://www.theatlantic.com/daily-dish/archive/2009/03/taking-bets/204969/
