Entitlement Measuring

Megan challenges my math:

[It] is not only not true that "no one" believes that [health care reform] will cost more than Medicare Part D, it's not really very reasonable for anyone to disbelieve it.  We are, after all, preparing to provide health care for millions of more people, who will not only be consuming prescription drugs, but also heart catheterization and asthma treatment and the leg amputations that doctors apparently prefer to providing routine diabetes care.  Prescription drug costs are on the order of 10% of overall spending, even for Medicare.

The Medicare prescription drug entitlement almost immediately was projected to cost $1.2 trillion over ten years - more than Obama's cost-projections. The CBO's estimate of long-term spending in the program is $8.2 trillion. Unlike Obama's healthcare plan, which focuses on the younger uninsured working and middle class, Bush's massive bribe was directed at seniors, a demographic set to grow very fast in the near future.

Now Megan is right that we do not know the final cost of the current proposal or what the future will bring. But when the CBO scores the final version, let's contrast and compare, shall we? And one more thing: the more immediately expensive one was rammed through by Republicans, the allegedly small government party. I still, for some reason, expect a little more fiscal responsibility from the right than the left. But we now know, of course, the both are dreadful but the GOP is worse.

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