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As Goes Ohio ... ?
ByNate Silver argues that focusing on Obama's Ohio approval dip misses the bigger picture:
Obama's approval ratings have declined nationwide
by perhaps 3-5 points since early May. I have little doubt that this
has mostly to do with the flagging economy. Each day, a few more voters
are going to blame Obama for the economic troubles that we're in. If
the economy seems to be showing some "green shoots", as it did in March
and April, then Obama will be fine -- voters don't expect the economy
to turn around overnight. But if the economy isn't showing any signs of
life -- and most of the economic news for the past 45 days or so has
been pretty grim -- he'll fail to keep pace with those modest, but
ever-increasing, expectations, and his approval ratings will decline.
