That Graph Again

A reader writes:

I'm with Nate Silver on this one.  I plotted the 2008 presidential election results with each data point representing a poll-closing time (7PM EST, 7:30PM, etc.), to give a better idea than Nate's analysis of results over time.  Doing this using the electoral vote count, I got an R-squared of 0.95, which is already very high.  I suspected that doing it using the popular vote, given its more granular nature, would yield a higher value.  And so it does.  See the graph below (Obama votes on the bottom, McCain votes on the right), with a basically perfect correlation of 1.  As Nate says, this doesn't disprove fraud (or the compelling nature of the election, come to that); it only shows that the graph does not prove fraud.


My reader's graph after the jump:


2008_mccain_vs_obama_popular vote

2006-2011 archives for The Daily Dish, featuring Andrew Sullivan

Join the Discussion

After you comment, click Post. If you’re not already logged in you will be asked to log in or register with Disqus.

Please note that The Atlantic's account system is separate from our commenting system. To log in or register with The Atlantic, use the Sign In button at the top of every page.

blog comments powered by Disqus

Video

What LBJ Really Said About Selma

"It's going to go from bad to worse."

Video

Does This Child Need Marijuana?

Inside a family's fight to use marijuana oils to treat epilepsy

Video

A Miniature 1950s Utopia

A reclusive artist built this idealized suburb to grapple with his painful childhood memories.

Video

Why Principals Matter

Nadia Lopez didn't think anybody cared about her school. Then the Internet heard her story.

Just In